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Company Analysis

American Airlines Group, Inc. AAL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for American Airlines Group, Inc.

Overview of American Airlines Group Inc.

AAL NMS
Industrials Airlines Mid Cap
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), is a Mid Cap company, in the Airlines industry, last closed at $10.30, about 1089.0% undervalued vs fair value, -9.0% 1Y return, ranked 413/658 in sector.
$10.30
-2.37%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 47.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$6.80B
Enterprise Value
$41.08B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.aa.com
HQ Fort Worth, TX
Employees 139,100
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Apr 23 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$107
$122
$139
Current: $10.30 +1089% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
54.21B
0.8%%
Gross Profit
11.46B
35.4%%
Operating Income
3.22B
-50.7%%
Net Income
846.00M
-86.9%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
11.7x
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$2.8B
216.8% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
2/4
Improving
1
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating American Airlines Group, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
44
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
44
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing AAL's balance between Growth (19.3%), Profitability (41.1%), and Safety (39.6%). Growth 19% Safety 40% Profitability 41%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

19th percentile vs peers
19
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 0.8% 29p Revenue CAGR 3Y 3.7% 17p EPS Growth YoY -85.7% 13p TSR -30.3% 20p EPS CAGR 3Y -4.6% 10p
Strengths
  • Debt/Fcf Ratio in top 20% of peers (28.88, 93th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 19)
  • Eps Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-85.7%)

Profitability

41th percentile vs peers
41
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

39th percentile vs peers
40
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for American Airlines Group, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$122.47
- - -
+1089.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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