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Company Analysis

Assured Guaranty Ltd. AGO

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Overview of Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO NYQ
Financial Services Insurance - Specialty Mid Cap
Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO), is a Mid Cap company, in the Insurance - Specialty industry, last closed at $83.38, about 46.4% undervalued vs fair value, -4.4% 1Y return, ranked 655/1004 in sector.
$83.38
0.25%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 20.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$3.84B
Enterprise Value
$5.16B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.assuredguaranty.co...
HQ Hamilton
Employees 361
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Mar 20
Earnings May 7 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$68
$122
$229
Current: $83.38 +46% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Financial Services - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Interest Income
$90.0M
-51.1%%
Interest Expense
$89.0M
Net Interest Income
$-91.0M
-1.1%%
Total Revenue
$1.1B
36.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Financial Services

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Return on Equity
6.8%
Fair

Net Income / Equity - key bank profitability metric

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.3B
339.1% of Net Income

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
0
Active Leaks
0/0
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
60
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
51
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing AGO's balance between Growth (34.4%), Profitability (35.9%), and Safety (29.7%). Growth 34% Safety 30% Profitability 36%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

63th percentile vs peers
63
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 36.4% 88p Revenue CAGR 3Y 17.5% 77p EPS CAGR 3Y 12.4% 61p TSR 18.3% 53p EPS Growth YoY -41.2% 11p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (36.4%, 88th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (71.1%, 83th percentile)
  • Gross Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (1.02, 93th percentile)
Risks
  • Eps Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-41.2%)

Profitability

65th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

54th percentile vs peers
54
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Assured Guaranty Ltd..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$122.03
- - -
+46.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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