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Company Analysis

Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Overview of Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALK NYQ
Industrials Airlines Mid Cap
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK), is a Mid Cap company, in the Airlines industry, last closed at $38.00, about 379.8% undervalued vs fair value, -31.1% 1Y return, ranked 389/656 in sector.
$38.00
-1.68%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 51.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$4.36B
Enterprise Value
$10.62B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.alaskaair.com
HQ Seattle, WA
Employees 31,996
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Apr 22 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$159
$182
$207
Current: $38.00 +380% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$14.2B
21.3%%
Gross Profit
$2.0B
-4.7%%
Operating Income
$553.0M
-39.6%%
Net Income
$100.0M
-74.7%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-339.0%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
2/5
Improving
0
High Impact
4
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
49
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
63
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing ALK's balance between Growth (44.5%), Profitability (26.4%), and Safety (29.0%). Growth 45% Safety 29% Profitability 26%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

59th percentile vs peers
60
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 21.3% 91p Revenue CAGR 3Y 13.9% 73p EPS CAGR 3Y 22.5% 38p EPS Growth YoY -72.9% 23p TSR -2.5% 35p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (21.3%, 91th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

35th percentile vs peers
35
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

38th percentile vs peers
39
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Alaska Air Group, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$182.34
- - -
+379.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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