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Company Analysis

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. AMBP

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Overview of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

AMBP NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers Mid Cap
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP), is a Mid Cap company, in the Packaging & Containers industry, last closed at $4.10, about 197.1% undervalued vs fair value, +42.4% 1Y return, ranked 138/539 in sector.
$4.10
-0.24%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 32.2%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$2.45B
Enterprise Value
$6.23B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ardaghmetalpackagi...
HQ Luxembourg
Employees 6,498
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Mar 26
Earnings Apr 23 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$11
$12
$14
Current: $4.10 +197% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$4.9B
2%%
Gross Profit
$630.0M
32.9%%
Operating Income
$202.0M
165.8%%
Net Income
$-3.0M
94%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-8766.7%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$264.0M
100.4% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
4
Active Leaks
4/4
Improving
3
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
36
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Weak
25
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing AMBP's balance between Growth (43.6%), Profitability (24.3%), and Safety (32.0%). Growth 44% Safety 32% Profitability 24%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

62th percentile vs peers
63
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 6.6% 82p EPS Growth YoY 63.5% 86p Rev Growth YoY 2.0% 47p TSR -41.6% 11p
Strengths
  • Revenue Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (6.6%, 82th percentile)
  • Eps Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (63.5%, 86th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (85%)
  • Cash Flow To Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.25, 91th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

35th percentile vs peers
35
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

46th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$12.18
- - -
+197.1% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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