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Company Analysis

Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Algoma Steel Group Inc.

Overview of Algoma Steel Group Inc.

ASTL NGM
Basic Materials Steel Small Cap
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL), is a Small Cap company, in the Steel industry, last closed at $3.46, about 375.4% undervalued vs fair value, -45.3% 1Y return, ranked 235/263 in sector.
$3.46
-6.23%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 76.2%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$363.07M
Enterprise Value
$1.10B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://algoma.com
HQ Sault Sainte Marie, ON
Employees 2,818
Fiscal year Mar 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$13
$16
$19
Current: $3.46 +375% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
None
-12.2%%
Gross Profit
$-115.1M
-140.8%%
Operating Income
$-294.5M
-276.1%%
EBITDA
None
-161.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
0.88x
Good

Free cash flow relative to net income

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$28.7M

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
0
High Impact
3
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
28
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Weak
10
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing ASTL's balance between Growth (25.2%), Profitability (31.0%), and Safety (43.8%). Growth 25% Safety 44% Profitability 31%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

25th percentile vs peers
25
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY -60.1% 43p Rev Growth YoY -12.2% 26p Revenue CAGR 3Y -13.6% 18p TSR -39.5% 6p
Strengths
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

31th percentile vs peers
31
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

44th percentile vs peers
44
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Algoma Steel Group Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$16.45
- - -
+375.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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