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Company Analysis

Bridger Aerospace Group Holding BAERW

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Bridger Aerospace Group Holding

Overview of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.

BAERW NGM
Industrials Security & Protection Services
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAERW), in the Security & Protection Services industry, last closed at $0.45, about 0.0% overvalued vs fair value, ranked 436/656 in sector.
$0.45
0.00%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close
Enterprise Value
-
Overall Score
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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.bridgeraerospace.c...
HQ Belgrade, MT
Employees 191
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Insufficient data
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  • Shares outstanding missing or non-positive

Engine Room Money Flow™

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$98.6M
47.8%%
Gross Profit
$41.1M
62.2%%
Operating Income
$5.3M
109.2%%
Net Income
$-15.6M
79.9%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-26.4%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$309.3M
7515.5% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
8
Active Leaks
1/8
Improving
0
High Impact
5
Critical
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Bridger Aerospace Group Holding's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
48
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
47
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 85% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing BAERW's balance between Growth (40.0%), Profitability (26.1%), and Safety (33.9%). Growth 40% Safety 34% Profitability 26%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

82th percentile vs peers
83
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 47.8% 94p Revenue CAGR 3Y 35.8% 68p
Strengths
  • Growth performance in top 20% of peers (percentile: 82)
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (47.8%, 94th percentile)
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.97, 90th percentile)
  • Net Debt/Ebitda in top 20% of peers (6.97, 90th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

54th percentile vs peers
54
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

70th percentile vs peers
70
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Bridger Aerospace Group Holding.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
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- upside
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Base
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- upside
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Bull
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- upside
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Fair Value Range Current: $-
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