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Company Analysis

BigBear.ai, Inc. BBAI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for BigBear.ai, Inc.

Overview of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BBAI NYQ
Technology Information Technology Services Small Cap
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI), is a Small Cap company, in the Information Technology Services industry, last closed at $3.94, about 0.0% overvalued vs fair value, +12.9% 1Y return, ranked 310/761 in sector.
$3.94
-2.23%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 94.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.88B
Enterprise Value
$1.53B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://bigbear.ai
HQ McLean, VA
Employees 630
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Apr 30 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$0
$0
$0
Current: $3.94

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$158.2M
2%%
Gross Profit
$45.2M
11.4%%
Operating Income
$-45.7M
-28.7%%
Net Income
$-295.5M
-318.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
16.7%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
0
High Impact
3
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating BigBear.ai, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
24
/100
Weak
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Weak
25
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 91% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing BBAI's balance between Growth (48.0%), Profitability (31.3%), and Safety (20.7%). Growth 48% Safety 21% Profitability 31%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

33th percentile vs peers
34
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 2.0% 43p Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.8% 37p EPS Growth YoY -1.67 16p TSR -27.6% 31p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks
  • Eps Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-1.67)

Profitability

22th percentile vs peers
22
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

14th percentile vs peers
15
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for BigBear.ai, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$-0.37
- - -
- upside
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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