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Company Analysis

Certara, Inc. CERT

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Certara, Inc.

Overview of Certara, Inc.

CERT NMS
Healthcare Health Information Services Small Cap
Certara, Inc. (CERT), is a Small Cap company, in the Health Information Services industry, last closed at $6.65, about 21.8% overvalued vs fair value, -39.8% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
$6.65
1.37%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 60.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.06B
Enterprise Value
$881.18M
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.certara.com
HQ Radnor, PA
Employees 1,515
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 5 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$5
$5
$6
Current: $6.65 -22% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$418.8M
8.7%%
Gross Profit
$257.7M
11.7%%
Operating Income
$21.0M
1314.1%%
Net Income
$-1.6M
86.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-3725.7%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$42.9M
72.2% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
5
Active Leaks
2/5
Improving
2
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Certara, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
72
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
75
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CERT's balance between Growth (31.2%), Profitability (34.6%), and Safety (34.2%). Growth 31% Safety 34% Profitability 35%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

63th percentile vs peers
64
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 8.8% 63p EPS Growth YoY 78.4% 75p Revenue CAGR 3Y 7.7% 55p
Strengths
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (75%)
  • Fcf Margin in top 20% of peers (22.6%, 94th percentile)
  • Cash Flow To Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (2.83, 85th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

70th percentile vs peers
71
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

70th percentile vs peers
70
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Certara, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$5.20
- - -
-21.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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