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Company Analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Overview of CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

CF NYQ
Basic Materials Agricultural Inputs Large Cap
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), is a Large Cap company, in the Agricultural Inputs industry, last closed at $129.57, about 31.2% overvalued vs fair value, +66.7% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
$129.57
-4.73%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 49.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$20.21B
Enterprise Value
$22.17B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.cfindustries.com
HQ Northbrook, IL
Employees 2,900
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 6 Call: May 7

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$80
$89
$99
Current: $129.57 -31% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$7.1B
19.3%%
Gross Profit
$2.7B
32.5%%
Operating Income
$2.4B
38.2%%
Net Income
$1.5B
19.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
120.3%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.7B
96.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
73
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
74
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CF's balance between Growth (29.1%), Profitability (39.5%), and Safety (31.4%). Growth 29% Safety 31% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

66th percentile vs peers
67
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 19.3% 88p EPS Growth YoY -14.3% 73p EPS CAGR 3Y 16.7% 83p Revenue CAGR 3Y -14.1% 27p TSR -6.9% 58p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (19.3%, 88th percentile)
  • Eps Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (16.7%, 83th percentile)
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (15.45, 94th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

90th percentile vs peers
90
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

71th percentile vs peers
72
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for CF Industries Holdings, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$89.11
- - -
-31.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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