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Company Analysis

Centerra Gold Inc. CGAU

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Centerra Gold Inc.

Overview of Centerra Gold Inc.

CGAU NYQ
Basic Materials Gold Mid Cap
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU), is a Mid Cap company, in the Gold industry, last closed at $17.64, about 57.6% overvalued vs fair value, +195.0% 1Y return, ranked 76/263 in sector.
$17.64
-4.85%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 57.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$3.53B
Enterprise Value
$3.03B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.centerragold.com
HQ Toronto, ON
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Mar 26
Earnings May 5 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$7
$7
$8
Current: $17.64 -58% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
None
9.5%%
Gross Profit
$326.1M
-13.7%%
Operating Income
$237.3M
-0.6%%
EBITDA
None
19.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
0.19x
Poor

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$137.2M
120.2% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
1/3
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Centerra Gold Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
52
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
54
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CGAU's balance between Growth (29.8%), Profitability (31.8%), and Safety (38.4%). Growth 30% Safety 38% Profitability 32%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

44th percentile vs peers
44
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 2.00 73p Revenue CAGR 3Y 16.1% 38p Rev Growth YoY 9.5% 26p TSR 1.56 53p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (60.57, 85th percentile)
  • Net Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (44.7%, 86th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

46th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

56th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Centerra Gold Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$7.48
- - -
-57.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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