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Company Analysis

Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Dollar Tree, Inc.

Overview of Dollar Tree, Inc.

DLTR NMS
Consumer Defensive Discount Stores Large Cap
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR), is a Large Cap company, in the Discount Stores industry, last closed at $107.46, about 13.2% overvalued vs fair value, +63.3% 1Y return, ranked 78/242 in sector.
$107.46
-3.80%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 37.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$21.92B
Enterprise Value
$28.98B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.dollartree.com
HQ Chesapeake, VA
Employees 64,434
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 16

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$77
$93
$109
Current: $107.46 -13% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$17.6B
4.8%%
Gross Profit
$6.3B
4.6%%
Operating Income
$1.5B
-17.6%%
Net Income
$-3.0B
-203.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-51.5%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.5B
94.0% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
3
Active Leaks
1/3
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Dollar Tree, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
58
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing DLTR's balance between Growth (18.7%), Profitability (39.1%), and Safety (42.2%). Growth 19% Safety 42% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

27th percentile vs peers
27
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 4.8% 44p TSR 14.5% 50p Revenue CAGR 3Y -12.6% 11p EPS Growth YoY -2.09 11p
Strengths
  • Fcf Margin in top 20% of peers (8.9%, 88th percentile)
  • Cash Flow To Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.80, 88th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 6 metrics
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
Risks
  • Eps Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-2.09)
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 27)

Profitability

57th percentile vs peers
58
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

62th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Dollar Tree, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$93.29
- - -
-13.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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