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Company Analysis

Expand Energy Corporation EXE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Expand Energy Corporation

Overview of Expand Energy Corporation

EXE NMS
Energy Oil & Gas E&P Large Cap
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE), is a Large Cap company, in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, last closed at $107.02, about 45.0% overvalued vs fair value, +1.4% 1Y return, ranked 70/254 in sector.
$107.02
-0.75%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 35.9%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$25.73B
Enterprise Value
$30.09B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.expandenergy.com
HQ Oklahoma City, OK
Employees 1,600
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$52
$59
$65
Current: $107.02 -45% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
None
176%%
Gross Profit
$5.4B
374.8%%
Operating Income
$2.0B
392.3%%
EBITDA
None
393.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
0.00x
Poor

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$865.0M
10812.5% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
1/4
Improving
1
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Expand Energy Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
37
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
48
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing EXE's balance between Growth (37.7%), Profitability (23.7%), and Safety (38.6%). Growth 38% Safety 39% Profitability 24%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

58th percentile vs peers
58
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 1.76 94p Revenue CAGR 3Y 0.6% 48p TSR 14.1% 63p EPS Growth YoY -1.27 12p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (1.76, 94th percentile)
  • Net Debt/Ebitda in top 20% of peers (5.34, 90th percentile)
  • Debt/Fcf Ratio in top 20% of peers (718.88, 96th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Eps Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-1.27)

Profitability

36th percentile vs peers
37
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

59th percentile vs peers
60
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Expand Energy Corporation.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$58.82
- - -
-45.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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