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Company Analysis

Greenfire Resources Ltd. GFR

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Overview of Greenfire Resources Ltd.

GFR NYQ
Energy Oil & Gas E&P Small Cap
Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR), is a Small Cap company, in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, last closed at $5.99, about 22.0% undervalued vs fair value, +17.9% 1Y return, ranked 203/254 in sector.
$5.99
-5.22%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 53.4%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$751.17M
Enterprise Value
$965.97M
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.greenfireres.com
HQ Calgary, AB
Employees 193
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 12

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$6
$7
$8
Current: $5.99 +22% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
None
21.7%%
Gross Profit
$382.8M
37%%
Operating Income
$144.0M
349%%
EBITDA
None
9788.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
0.47x
Fair

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
5
Active Leaks
1/5
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Greenfire Resources Ltd.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
43
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
56
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing GFR's balance between Growth (41.3%), Profitability (29.5%), and Safety (29.2%). Growth 41% Safety 29% Profitability 30%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

65th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 21.8% 74p Revenue CAGR 3Y 44.9% 88p EPS Growth YoY 1.68 91p EPS CAGR 3Y -44.0% 12p TSR -39.8% 12p
Strengths
  • Revenue Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (44.9%, 88th percentile)
  • Eps Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (1.68, 91th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

46th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

46th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Greenfire Resources Ltd..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$7.31
- - -
+22.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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