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Company Analysis

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. GO

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Overview of Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

GO NMS
Consumer Defensive Grocery Stores Small Cap
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO), is a Small Cap company, in the Grocery Stores industry, last closed at $6.40, about 910.2% undervalued vs fair value, -50.6% 1Y return, ranked 154/242 in sector.
$6.40
5.26%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 70.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$628.18M
Enterprise Value
$2.39B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.groceryoutlet.com
HQ Emeryville, CA
Employees 1,692
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 5 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$57
$65
$74
Current: $6.40 +910% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$4.4B
10.1%%
Gross Profit
$1.3B
6.5%%
Operating Income
$78.3M
-37.7%%
Net Income
$39.5M
-50.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-240.6%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
6
Active Leaks
1/6
Improving
0
High Impact
5
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
48
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
67
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing GO's balance between Growth (38.7%), Profitability (24.8%), and Safety (36.5%). Growth 39% Safety 37% Profitability 25%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

48th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 12.4% 81p Rev Growth YoY 10.1% 63p EPS CAGR 3Y -14.2% 37p EPS Growth YoY -49.7% 9p TSR -63.9% 12p
Strengths
  • Revenue Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (12.4%, 81th percentile)
  • Current Ratio in top 20% of peers (1.44, 81th percentile)
  • Net Debt/Ebitda in top 20% of peers (8.29, 81th percentile)
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Eps Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-49.7%)

Profitability

30th percentile vs peers
31
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

45th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$64.65
- - -
+910.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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