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Company Analysis

Graphic Packaging Holding Compa GPK

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Graphic Packaging Holding Compa

Overview of Graphic Packaging Holding Company

GPK NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers Mid Cap
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK), is a Mid Cap company, in the Packaging & Containers industry, last closed at $9.73, about 369.4% undervalued vs fair value, -62.8% 1Y return, ranked 179/539 in sector.
$9.73
-0.92%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 52.1%
Market Cap
$2.88B
Enterprise Value
$8.19B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.graphicpkg.com
HQ Atlanta, GA
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$40
$46
$52
Current: $9.73 +369% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$8.6B
-2.2%%
Gross Profit
$1.6B
-17.8%%
Operating Income
$869.0M
-22.7%%
Net Income
$444.0M
-32.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-81.8%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
6
Active Leaks
0/6
Improving
0
High Impact
4
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Graphic Packaging Holding Compa's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
60
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
42
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing GPK's balance between Growth (27.5%), Profitability (44.0%), and Safety (28.6%). Growth 27% Safety 29% Profitability 44%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

37th percentile vs peers
37
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY -7.8% 65p EPS CAGR 3Y 46.6% 86p Revenue CAGR 3Y -3.0% 21p Rev Growth YoY -2.2% 17p TSR -43.0% 5p
Strengths
  • Eps Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (46.6%, 86th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Consistently strong margins across 3 metrics
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Rev Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-2.2%)

Profitability

59th percentile vs peers
60
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

38th percentile vs peers
39
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Graphic Packaging Holding Compa.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$45.67
- - -
+369.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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