Skip to content
Company Analysis

Green Plains, Inc. GPRE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Green Plains, Inc.

Overview of Green Plains Inc.

GPRE NMS
Basic Materials Chemicals Small Cap
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE), is a Small Cap company, in the Chemicals industry, last closed at $15.81, about 161.4% undervalued vs fair value, +182.3% 1Y return, ranked 215/263 in sector.
$15.81
-2.35%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 63.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.10B
Enterprise Value
$1.38B
Overall Score
Scores locked

Create a free account to see overall and pillar scores for Green Plains, Inc..

Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.gpreinc.com
HQ Omaha, NE
Employees 642
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 7 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$36
$41
$47
Current: $15.81 +161% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$2.1B
-14.9%%
Gross Profit
$136.9M
5%%
Operating Income
$-84.2M
-7.7%%
Net Income
$-121.3M
-47%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-60.7%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$241.0M
327.2% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
2/4
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Green Plains, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
53
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

Upgrade to unlock interactive defense details

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Moderate
68
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing GPRE's balance between Growth (23.8%), Profitability (32.3%), and Safety (43.9%). Growth 24% Safety 44% Profitability 32%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

27th percentile vs peers
28
Key Signals
TSR 3.5% 83p EPS Growth YoY -39.0% 35p Rev Growth YoY -14.9% 16p Revenue CAGR 3Y -17.0% 13p
Strengths
  • Tsr in top 20% of peers (3.5%, 83th percentile)
  • Net Debt/Ebitda in top 20% of peers (8.75, 82th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Rev Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-14.9%)

Profitability

37th percentile vs peers
38
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

51th percentile vs peers
51
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Green Plains, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$41.33
- - -
+161.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info