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Company Analysis

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. HCC

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Overview of Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

HCC NYQ
Basic Materials Coking Coal Mid Cap
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC), is a Mid Cap company, in the Coking Coal industry, last closed at $85.12, about 56.1% overvalued vs fair value, +76.1% 1Y return, ranked 113/263 in sector.
$85.12
-0.26%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 55.4%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$4.47B
Enterprise Value
$4.45B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://warriormetcoal.com
HQ Brookwood, AL
Employees 1,485
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 6 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$33
$37
$42
Current: $85.12 -56% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.3B
-14.1%%
Gross Profit
$111.4M
-65%%
Operating Income
$45.7M
-82.1%%
Net Income
$57.0M
-77.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
-176.1%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
0
High Impact
4
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
40
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
29
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HCC's balance between Growth (29.7%), Profitability (39.1%), and Safety (31.2%). Growth 30% Safety 31% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

47th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY -14.1% 66p EPS Growth YoY -77.4% 50p Revenue CAGR 3Y -9.0% 33p TSR 63.2% 60p EPS CAGR 3Y -55.6% 20p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (6.59, 83th percentile)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (3.5%, 83th percentile)
  • Net Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (4.3%, 83th percentile)
  • Gross Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (8.5%, 83th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

62th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

49th percentile vs peers
50
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Warrior Met Coal, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$37.41
- - -
-56.1% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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