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Company Analysis

Hillman Solutions Corp. HLMN

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Hillman Solutions Corp.

Overview of Hillman Solutions Corp.

HLMN NGM
Industrials Tools & Accessories Small Cap
Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN), is a Small Cap company, in the Tools & Accessories industry, last closed at $8.05, about 51.2% undervalued vs fair value, -12.2% 1Y return, ranked 416/656 in sector.
$8.05
0.25%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 39.9%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.62B
Enterprise Value
$2.42B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.hillmangroup.com
HQ Cincinnati, OH
Employees 3,986
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$11
$12
$14
Current: $8.05 +51% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.6B
5.4%%
Gross Profit
$615.2M
-13.1%%
Operating Income
$117.5M
32.4%%
Net Income
$40.3M
133.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
243.4%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$60.5M
61.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
4
Active Leaks
2/4
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Hillman Solutions Corp.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
57
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
65
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HLMN's balance between Growth (47.7%), Profitability (20.1%), and Safety (32.3%). Growth 48% Safety 32% Profitability 20%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

76th percentile vs peers
76
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 5.4% 80p EPS Growth YoY 2.76 90p Revenue CAGR 3Y 1.5% 60p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (5.4%, 80th percentile)
  • Eps Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (2.76, 90th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (75%)
  • Cash Flow To Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (2.50, 90th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

32th percentile vs peers
32
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

51th percentile vs peers
52
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Hillman Solutions Corp..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$12.17
- - -
+51.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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