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Company Analysis

HighPeak Energy, Inc. HPK

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for HighPeak Energy, Inc.

Overview of HighPeak Energy, Inc.

HPK NGM
Energy Oil & Gas E&P Small Cap
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK), is a Small Cap company, in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, last closed at $6.01, about 91.0% undervalued vs fair value, -51.2% 1Y return, ranked 213/254 in sector.
$6.01
5.62%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 87.4%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$693.73M
Enterprise Value
$1.72B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.highpeakenergy.com
HQ Fort Worth, TX
Employees 47
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 11 Call: Mar 12

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$10
$11
$13
Current: $6.01 +91% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
None
-3.8%%
Gross Profit
$376.7M
-22%%
Operating Income
$341.2M
-21.5%%
EBITDA
None
-6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
0.73x
Good

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$57.4M
82.9% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
5
Active Leaks
2/5
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating HighPeak Energy, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
51
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
36
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing HPK's balance between Growth (32.0%), Profitability (34.9%), and Safety (33.1%). Growth 32% Safety 33% Profitability 35%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

51th percentile vs peers
51
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 69.4% 94p Rev Growth YoY -3.8% 38p EPS CAGR 3Y 7.9% 63p EPS Growth YoY -58.1% 31p TSR -61.3% 4p
Strengths
  • Revenue Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (69.4%, 94th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
  • Debt/Fcf Ratio in top 20% of peers (15.17, 89th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 3 metrics
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

56th percentile vs peers
56
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

53th percentile vs peers
53
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for HighPeak Energy, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
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  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$11.48
- - -
+91.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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