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Company Analysis

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. LOPE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

Overview of Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

LOPE NMS
Consumer Defensive Education & Training Services Mid Cap
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), is a Mid Cap company, in the Education & Training Services industry, last closed at $167.84, about 55.4% overvalued vs fair value, -5.9% 1Y return, ranked 86/243 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 7.1% ROE 28.2% Gross Margin 52.4%
$167.84
1.48%
As of April 28, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 31.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$4.56B
Enterprise Value
$4.64B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 89%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.gce.com
HQ Phoenix, AZ
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 5 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$67
$75
$83
Current: $167.84 -55% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.1B
7.1%%
Gross Profit
$579.9M
6.5%%
Operating Income
$303.6M
9.5%%
Net Income
$216.2M
-4.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
116.7%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$267.4M
106.0% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
84
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Strong
79
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 94% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing LOPE's balance between Growth (22.1%), Profitability (44.8%), and Safety (33.1%). Growth 22% Safety 33% Profitability 45%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

43th percentile vs peers
43
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 7.1% 46p Revenue CAGR 3Y 6.7% 50p EPS Growth YoY 13.7% 34p EPS CAGR 3Y 9.3% 37p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers ($72.8K, 97th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (27.5%, 94th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

87th percentile vs peers
88
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

64th percentile vs peers
65
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Grand Canyon Education, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$74.91
- - -
-55.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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