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Company Analysis

Murphy USA Inc. MUSA

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Murphy USA Inc.

Overview of Murphy USA Inc.

MUSA NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail Mid Cap
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA), is a Mid Cap company, in the Specialty Retail industry, last closed at $456.72, about 125.6% undervalued vs fair value, +3.6% 1Y return, ranked 250/539 in sector.
$456.72
0.29%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 36.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$8.07B
Enterprise Value
$11.29B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.murphyusa.com
HQ El Dorado, AR
Employees 5,900
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 6 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$840
$1030
$1217
Current: $456.72 +126% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$19.4B
-4.2%%
Gross Profit
$970.7M
-57.9%%
Operating Income
$739.2M
-2.2%%
Net Income
$470.6M
-6.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
82.8%
Good

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$691.4M
177.5% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Murphy USA Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
56
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
61
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing MUSA's balance between Growth (29.5%), Profitability (37.8%), and Safety (32.6%). Growth 30% Safety 33% Profitability 38%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

47th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
EPS CAGR 3Y 17.3% 95p Rev Growth YoY -4.2% 38p EPS Growth YoY -5.4% 46p Revenue CAGR 3Y -6.1% 31p TSR -19.1% 46p
Strengths
  • Eps Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (17.3%, 95th percentile)
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (5.22, 96th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

61th percentile vs peers
61
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

52th percentile vs peers
53
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Murphy USA Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$1030.47
- - -
+125.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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