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Company Analysis

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott NGVC

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott

Overview of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

NGVC NYQ
Consumer Defensive Grocery Stores Small Cap
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC), is a Small Cap company, in the Grocery Stores industry, last closed at $25.60, about 236.6% undervalued vs fair value, -32.4% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
$25.60
2.48%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 41.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$597.70M
Enterprise Value
$899.44M
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.naturalgrocers.com
HQ Lakewood, CO
Employees 3,455
Fiscal year Sep 30

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$76
$86
$98
Current: $25.60 +237% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.3B
7.2%%
Gross Profit
$397.9M
9.1%%
Operating Income
$63.0M
29.4%%
Net Income
$46.4M
36.9%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
51.5%
Fair

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$14.8M
62.0% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
4
Active Leaks
1/4
Improving
2
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
70
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
58
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NGVC's balance between Growth (33.0%), Profitability (38.8%), and Safety (28.3%). Growth 33% Safety 28% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

63th percentile vs peers
63
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 7.2% 54p Revenue CAGR 3Y 6.9% 63p EPS CAGR 3Y 28.7% 75p EPS Growth YoY 35.9% 54p TSR 36.3% 87p
Strengths
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Tsr in top 20% of peers (36.3%, 87th percentile)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (4.7%, 81th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

74th percentile vs peers
74
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

54th percentile vs peers
54
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$86.17
- - -
+236.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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