Skip to content
Company Analysis

Nike, Inc. NKE

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Nike, Inc.

Overview of NIKE, Inc.

NKE NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Footwear & Accessories Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
NIKE, Inc. (NKE), is a Large Cap company, in the Footwear & Accessories industry, last closed at $38.10, about 27.5% undervalued vs fair value, -47.8% 1Y return, ranked 190/548 in sector.
Metrics Gross Margin 42.9%
USD 38.10
-0.78%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 33.4%
Market Cap
$63.35B
Enterprise Value
$66.82B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 61%
Updated: Sep 12
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.nike.com
HQ Beaverton, OR
Employees 77,800
Fiscal year May 31

Next Events

Earnings Sep 29
Dividend Oct 1

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$43
$49
$55
Current: $38.10 +28% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$46.4B
0.2%%
Gross Profit
$19.9B
0.6%%
Operating Income
$3.8B
2.6%%
Net Income
$3.1B
-3.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
70.3%
Fair

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$2.6B
116.9% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
1
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Nike, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
51
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 72.7th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.
  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.75), suggesting sticky customer base.

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 25.0th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • Scale Without Profitability Despite scale, profitability lags peers (score 0.38), suggesting limited competitive advantage.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

Upgrade to unlock the signals and evidence behind each defense.

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Developing
40
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NKE's balance between Growth (15.8%), Profitability (45.0%), and Safety (39.2%). Growth 16% Safety 39% Profitability 45%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

24th percentile vs peers
24
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y -0.3% 36p EPS Growth YoY -41.9% 26p Rev Growth YoY -9.8% 16p EPS CAGR 3Y -16.8% 26p TSR -53.2% 9p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (12.81, 81th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • ROIC in top 20% of peers (14.5%, 81th percentile)
Risks
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-9.8%)
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 24)

Profitability

69th percentile vs peers
69
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

60th percentile vs peers
60
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Nike, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$48.57
- - -
+27.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info
Send Feedback
Please select a category.
0/1000