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Company Analysis

NRG Energy, Inc. NRG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for NRG Energy, Inc.

Overview of NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG NYQ
Utilities Utilities - Independent Power Producers Large Cap
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG), is a Large Cap company, in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, last closed at $152.87, about 36.9% undervalued vs fair value, +59.0% 1Y return, ranked 35/116 in sector.
$152.87
0.51%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 44.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$33.13B
Enterprise Value
$45.16B
Overall Score
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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.nrg.com
HQ Houston, TX
Employees 16,702
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 11 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$166
$209
$250
Current: $152.87 +37% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$30.7B
9.2%%
Gross Profit
$6.7B
11.3%%
Operating Income
$1.9B
-18.9%%
Net Income
$864.0M
-23.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
210.2%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.9B
102.9% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
1/5
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating NRG Energy, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
55
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
52
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing NRG's balance between Growth (37.4%), Profitability (22.8%), and Safety (39.8%). Growth 37% Safety 40% Profitability 23%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

53th percentile vs peers
53
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 9.2% 83p EPS Growth YoY 5.44 83p TSR 78.9% 60p Revenue CAGR 3Y -0.9% 16p EPS CAGR 3Y -17.6% 8p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (9.2%, 83th percentile)
  • Eps Growth Yoy in top 20% of peers (5.44, 83th percentile)
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (9.97, 83th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

32th percentile vs peers
32
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

56th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for NRG Energy, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$209.32
- - -
+36.9% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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