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Company Analysis

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings OLLI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Overview of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

OLLI NGM
Consumer Defensive Discount Stores Mid Cap
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI), is a Mid Cap company, in the Discount Stores industry, last closed at $109.25, about 62.6% overvalued vs fair value, +5.7% 1Y return, ranked 79/242 in sector.
$109.25
4.18%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 33.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$6.68B
Enterprise Value
$7.21B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ollies.com
HQ Harrisburg, PA
Employees 5,900
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 12

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$34
$41
$48
Current: $109.25 -63% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$2.3B
8%%
Gross Profit
$914.5M
9.9%%
Operating Income
$268.8M
11.1%%
Net Income
$199.8M
10.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
53.5%
Fair

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$54.1M
50.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
4
Active Leaks
2/4
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
69
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
65
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing OLLI's balance between Growth (32.0%), Profitability (35.2%), and Safety (32.8%). Growth 32% Safety 33% Profitability 35%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

62th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 8.0% 66p Revenue CAGR 3Y 9.0% 66p EPS Growth YoY 10.6% 55p EPS CAGR 3Y 10.0% 71p TSR 14.4% 37p
Strengths
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (11.8%, 88th percentile)
  • Net Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (8.8%, 88th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

68th percentile vs peers
68
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

63th percentile vs peers
64
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$40.91
- - -
-62.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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