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Company Analysis

Packaging Corporation of Americ PKG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Packaging Corporation of Americ

Overview of Packaging Corporation of America

PKG NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers Large Cap
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG), is a Large Cap company, in the Packaging & Containers industry, last closed at $214.50, about 24.3% overvalued vs fair value, +8.1% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
$214.50
0.21%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 25.9%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$19.85B
Enterprise Value
$23.69B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.packagingcorp.com
HQ Lake Forest, IL
Employees 16,800
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$143
$162
$183
Current: $214.50 -24% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$9.0B
7.2%%
Gross Profit
$1.9B
6%%
Operating Income
$1.3B
7%%
Net Income
$768.9M
-4.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
67.8%
Fair

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.0B
192.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Packaging Corporation of Americ's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
76
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
64
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing PKG's balance between Growth (31.7%), Profitability (38.8%), and Safety (29.5%). Growth 32% Safety 29% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

65th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 7.2% 69p Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.0% 69p EPS Growth YoY 5.1% 69p EPS CAGR 3Y 0.4% 60p TSR -6.2% 44p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (13.99, 91th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

80th percentile vs peers
80
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

61th percentile vs peers
61
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Packaging Corporation of Americ.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$162.43
- - -
-24.3% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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