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Company Analysis

Shoe Carnival, Inc. SCVL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Overview of Shoe Carnival, Inc.

SCVL NMS
Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail Small Cap
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL), is a Small Cap company, in the Apparel Retail industry, last closed at $18.20, about 153.5% undervalued vs fair value, -18.6% 1Y return, ranked 154/539 in sector.
$18.20
0.22%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 46.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$530.30M
Enterprise Value
$798.72M
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.shoecarnival.com
HQ Fort Mill, SC
Employees 2,500
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 26

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$38
$46
$54
Current: $18.20 +154% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.2B
2.3%%
Gross Profit
$428.8M
1.8%%
Operating Income
$91.2M
-2.5%%
Net Income
$73.8M
0.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
94.2%
Good

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$14.7M
21.2% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
1/3
Improving
1
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
62
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
49
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 97% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing SCVL's balance between Growth (26.2%), Profitability (33.6%), and Safety (40.2%). Growth 26% Safety 40% Profitability 34%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

45th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 2.3% 61p Revenue CAGR 3Y -3.3% 35p EPS Growth YoY 0.1% 36p TSR 8.2% 68p EPS CAGR 3Y -20.9% 27p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (311.46, 96th percentile)
  • Current Ratio in top 20% of peers (4.11, 97th percentile)
  • Cash Flow To Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (4.55, 96th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 6 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

58th percentile vs peers
59
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

69th percentile vs peers
70
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Shoe Carnival, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$46.14
- - -
+153.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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