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Company Analysis

Sera Prognostics, Inc. SERA

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Sera Prognostics, Inc.

Overview of Sera Prognostics, Inc.

SERA NGM
Healthcare Medical Devices Micro Cap
Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA), is a Micro Cap company, in the Medical Devices industry, last closed at $2.13, about 0.0% overvalued vs fair value, -48.6% 1Y return, ranked 789/1110 in sector.
$2.13
7.04%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 77.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$75.26M
Enterprise Value
$73.62M
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.sera.com
HQ Salt Lake City, UT
Employees 63
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 18 Call: Mar 18

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$-1
$-1
$-1
Current: $2.13

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$77.0K
-74.8%%
Gross Profit
$-5.0K
-105.2%%
Operating Income
$-36.6M
8%%
Net Income
$-32.9M
9.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
46.5%
Poor

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
2
Active Leaks
0/2
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Sera Prognostics, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
20
/100
Weak
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Weak
6
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 88% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing SERA's balance between Growth (29.7%), Profitability (19.1%), and Safety (51.2%). Growth 30% Safety 51% Profitability 19%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

20th percentile vs peers
20
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 14.6% 38p Revenue CAGR 3Y -2.1% 23p Rev Growth YoY -74.8% 4p
Strengths
  • Quick Ratio in top 20% of peers (5.80, 83th percentile)
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 20)
  • Rev Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-74.8%)

Profitability

13th percentile vs peers
13
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

34th percentile vs peers
35
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Sera Prognostics, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$-1.29
- - -
- upside
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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