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Company Analysis

The Simply Good Foods Company SMPL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for The Simply Good Foods Company

Overview of The Simply Good Foods Company

SMPL NCM
Consumer Defensive Packaged Foods Small Cap
The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL), is a Small Cap company, in the Packaged Foods industry, last closed at $14.41, about 72.1% undervalued vs fair value, -58.2% 1Y return, ranked 99/242 in sector.
$14.42
0.03%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 35.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.48B
Enterprise Value
$1.73B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.thesimplygoodfoods...
HQ Denver, CO
Employees 328
Fiscal year Aug 31

Next Events

Earnings Apr 8 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$22
$25
$28
Current: $14.42 +72% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.5B
9%%
Gross Profit
$525.7M
2.8%%
Operating Income
$218.6M
-1.1%%
Net Income
$103.6M
-25.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
150.4%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$206.1M
132.3% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating The Simply Good Foods Company's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
77
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Strong
83
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing SMPL's balance between Growth (30.4%), Profitability (38.2%), and Safety (31.4%). Growth 30% Safety 31% Profitability 38%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

59th percentile vs peers
59
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 9.0% 72p Revenue CAGR 3Y 7.5% 67p EPS Growth YoY -25.8% 35p TSR 18.3% 70p EPS CAGR 3Y -1.8% 41p
Strengths
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (15.1%, 86th percentile)
  • Ebit Margin in top 20% of peers (11.0%, 83th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

74th percentile vs peers
74
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

61th percentile vs peers
61
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for The Simply Good Foods Company.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$24.81
- - -
+72.1% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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