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Company Analysis

Target Corporation TGT

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Target Corporation

Overview of Target Corporation

TGT NYQ
Consumer Defensive Discount Stores Large Cap
Target Corporation (TGT), is a Large Cap company, in the Discount Stores industry, last closed at $117.34, about 102.4% undervalued vs fair value, +11.0% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
$117.34
1.37%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 31.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$54.69B
Enterprise Value
$70.91B
Overall Score
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Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://target.com
HQ Minneapolis, MN
Employees 440,000
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings May 20 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$195
$237
$280
Current: $117.34 +102% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$106.6B
-0.8%%
Gross Profit
$30.1B
1.6%%
Operating Income
$5.6B
-2.5%%
Net Income
$4.1B
-1.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
109.4%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$3.5B
77.1% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
1/2
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Target Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
57
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
57
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TGT's balance between Growth (17.4%), Profitability (45.4%), and Safety (37.3%). Growth 17% Safety 37% Profitability 45%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

22th percentile vs peers
22
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY -0.9% 33p Revenue CAGR 3Y 0.2% 22p EPS CAGR 3Y -14.3% 28p Rev Growth YoY -0.8% 11p TSR 2.4% 25p
Strengths
  • Consistently strong margins across 4 metrics
Risks
  • Rev Growth Yoy in bottom 20% of peers (-0.8%)
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 22)

Profitability

58th percentile vs peers
58
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

48th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Target Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$237.46
- - -
+102.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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