Skip to content
Company Analysis

Target Corporation TGT

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Target Corporation

Overview of Target Corporation

TGT NYQ
Consumer Defensive Discount Stores Large Cap
Target Corporation (TGT), is a Large Cap company, in the Discount Stores industry, last closed at $127.14, about 86.7% undervalued vs fair value, +31.5% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 15.6× Rev Growth -0.8% ROE 29.1% Gross Margin 28.2% Div Yield 3.24%
$127.14
-1.99%
As of April 28, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 29.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$57.58B
Enterprise Value
$73.80B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 88%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://target.com
HQ Minneapolis, MN
Employees 440,000
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings May 20 Estimated
Dividend Jun 1 Ex-div: May 13

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$194
$237
$280
Current: $127.14 +87% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$106.6B
-0.8%%
Gross Profit
$30.1B
1.6%%
Operating Income
$5.6B
-2.5%%
Net Income
$4.1B
-1.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
109.4%
Excellent

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium
Locked Metric
-
Premium

Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$3.5B
77.1% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
1/2
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
Upgrade to view details
Premium
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Target Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
58
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

Upgrade to unlock interactive defense details

Premium access

Unlock full defense analysis

Get key signals, strengths, and risks for every moat dimension.

Upgrade to Premium Unlock all moat defenses and evidence.

Pricing Power

Moderate
57
Premium
Unlock full defense details

See key signals plus strengths and risks for this moat dimension.

Upgrade for full defense analysis Premium-only evidence and insights.
For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TGT's balance between Growth (13.0%), Profitability (50.4%), and Safety (36.7%). Growth 13% Safety 37% Profitability 50%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
Upgrade to unlock the full 3-year trend analysis and deltas.

Growth

16th percentile vs peers
16
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY -0.9% 27p Revenue CAGR 3Y 0.2% 16p EPS CAGR 3Y -14.3% 21p TSR 2.4% 18p Rev Growth YoY -0.8% 5p
Strengths
  • Net Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (3.8%, 83th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 7 metrics
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 16)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-0.8%)

Profitability

64th percentile vs peers
64
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
Premium
Unlock full Profitability drilldowns

See the signal-level drivers and insights behind this axis. Upgrade to reveal the full Trade-Off Ledger.

Upgrade Now

Safety

46th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Target Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
X.X%
X%XX%
X.X%
-XX%XX%
XX.X%
-XX%XX%
Adjust the sliders above to explore different valuation scenarios.
Unlock Premium
Reveal the full Scenario Theatre
See live sliders, narratives, and full Bear/Base/Bull outcomes.
Upgrade Now
Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$237.43
- - -
+86.7% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
Actions & Info