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Company Analysis

Tilly's, Inc. TLYS

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Tilly's, Inc.

Overview of Tilly's, Inc.

TLYS NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail Framework: General Corporate Micro Cap
Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS), is a Micro Cap company, in the Apparel Retail industry, last closed at $4.17, about 259.5% undervalued vs fair value, +121.8% 1Y return, ranked 510/548 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -8.6% Gross Margin 26.3%
USD 4.17
-5.23%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 77.1%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$127.44M
Enterprise Value
$244.52M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Completeness: 94%
Confidence: 57%
Updated: Sep 12
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.tillys.com
HQ Irvine, CA
Employees 1,410
Fiscal year Feb 28

Next Events

Earnings Sep 2

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$12
$15
$18
Current: $4.17 +260% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$569.5M
-8.6%%
Gross Profit
$149.7M
-9.6%%
Operating Income
$-49.8M
-80.9%%
Net Income
$-46.2M
-34%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Operating Cash Flow Margin FY2025
-7.4%
Poor

Operating Cash Flow / Revenue

OCF / Revenue - cash profitability from operations

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
Analysis based on partial data. Some metrics unavailable for complete assessment.
0
Active Leaks
0/0
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Tilly's, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
19
/100
Weak
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 9.1th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • Scale Without Profitability Despite scale, profitability lags peers (score 0.12), suggesting limited competitive advantage.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Weak
11
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 67% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TLYS's balance between Growth (23.1%), Profitability (33.9%), and Safety (43.1%). Growth 23% Safety 43% Profitability 34%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

18th percentile vs peers
19
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY -8.6% 17p Revenue CAGR 3Y -9.8% 14p TSR -11.4% 33p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 18)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-8.6%)

Profitability

27th percentile vs peers
28
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

35th percentile vs peers
35
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Tilly's, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$14.99
- - -
+259.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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