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Company Analysis

Tilly's, Inc. TLYS

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Tilly's, Inc.

Overview of Tilly's, Inc.

TLYS NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail Framework: General Corporate Micro Cap
Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS), is a Micro Cap company, in the Apparel Retail industry, last closed at $5.45, about 175.0% undervalued vs fair value, +346.7% 1Y return, ranked 447/539 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -8.6% ROE -37.6% Gross Margin 26.3%
USD 5.45
2.64%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 100.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$161.90M
Enterprise Value
$288.80M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Weak
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Weak
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 51%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.tillys.com
HQ Irvine, CA
Employees 1,410
Fiscal year Feb 28

Next Events

Earnings Sep 2 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$12
$15
$18
Current: $5.45 +175% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$569.5M
-8.6%%
Gross Profit
$149.7M
-9.6%%
Operating Income
$-49.8M
-80.9%%
Net Income
$-46.2M
-34%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Operating Cash Flow Margin
-7.4%
Poor

OCF / Revenue - cash profitability from operations

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
Analysis based on partial data. Some metrics unavailable for complete assessment.
0
Active Leaks
0/0
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Tilly's, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
34
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
39
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 92% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TLYS's balance between Growth (22.2%), Profitability (26.7%), and Safety (51.1%). Growth 22% Safety 51% Profitability 27%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

20th percentile vs peers
21
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY -33.2% 28p Rev Growth YoY -8.6% 18p Revenue CAGR 3Y -9.8% 12p TSR -17.2% 30p
Strengths
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (1.92, 85th percentile)
  • Net Debt/EBITDA in top 20% of peers (6.65, 83th percentile)
  • Conservative leverage compared to industry peers
Risks
  • Growth in bottom 20% of peers (percentile: 20)
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-8.6%)

Profitability

24th percentile vs peers
25
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

47th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Tilly's, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$14.99
- - -
+175.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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