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Company Analysis

Toll Brothers, Inc. TOL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Toll Brothers, Inc.

Overview of Toll Brothers, Inc.

TOL NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Residential Construction Large Cap
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), is a Large Cap company, in the Residential Construction industry, last closed at $136.69, about 40.8% undervalued vs fair value, +28.9% 1Y return, placing in the top 25% of its sector.
$136.69
-0.96%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 30.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$13.99B
Enterprise Value
$15.50B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.tollbrothers.com
HQ Fort Washington, PA
Employees 4,900
Fiscal year Oct 31

Next Events

Earnings May 19 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$171
$193
$216
Current: $136.69 +41% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$11.0B
1.1%%
Gross Profit
$2.8B
-8.9%%
Operating Income
$1.7B
-15.7%%
Net Income
$1.3B
-14.3%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
76.2%
Fair

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$801.6M
78.1% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
2
Active Leaks
0/2
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Toll Brothers, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
75
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
69
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Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TOL's balance between Growth (35.2%), Profitability (39.5%), and Safety (25.3%). Growth 35% Safety 25% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

64th percentile vs peers
65
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 1.1% 77p Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.2% 61p EPS CAGR 3Y 7.4% 83p EPS Growth YoY -10.1% 45p TSR -7.2% 46p
Strengths
  • Eps Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (7.4%, 83th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Consistently strong margins across 7 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

72th percentile vs peers
73
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

46th percentile vs peers
46
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Toll Brothers, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$192.51
- - -
+40.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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