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Company Analysis

Tractor Supply Company TSCO

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Tractor Supply Company

Overview of Tractor Supply Company

TSCO NMS
Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail Large Cap
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO), is a Large Cap company, in the Specialty Retail industry, last closed at $47.24, about 33.2% overvalued vs fair value, -11.1% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
$47.24
-1.79%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 30.2%
Market Cap
$26.40B
Enterprise Value
$32.15B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.tractorsupply.com
HQ Brentwood, TN
Employees 26,000
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Apr 23 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$26
$32
$37
Current: $47.24 -33% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$15.5B
4.3%%
Gross Profit
$5.2B
-4.4%%
Operating Income
$1.5B
-0%%
Net Income
$1.1B
-0.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
58.1%
Fair

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$848.9M
133.3% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
1/4
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Tractor Supply Company's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
74
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Strong
76
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing TSCO's balance between Growth (32.2%), Profitability (38.3%), and Safety (29.5%). Growth 32% Safety 30% Profitability 38%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

62th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 4.3% 67p Revenue CAGR 3Y 3.0% 64p EPS Growth YoY 0.9% 55p EPS CAGR 3Y 2.0% 54p TSR -4.0% 64p
Strengths
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (2.30, 86th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • Consistently strong margins across 6 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

73th percentile vs peers
74
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

57th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Tractor Supply Company.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$31.55
- - -
-33.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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