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Company Analysis

Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne UGP

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne

Overview of Ultrapar Participações S.A.

UGP NYQ
Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Mid Cap
Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP), is a Mid Cap company, in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, last closed at $4.91, about 2477.2% undervalued vs fair value, +56.9% 1Y return, ranked 69/254 in sector.
$4.91
-0.81%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 36.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$5.40B
Enterprise Value
$21.36B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ultra.com.br
HQ São Paulo, SP
Employees 10,947
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings May 6

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$109
$127
$143
Current: $4.91 +2477% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
None
5.9%%
Gross Profit
$9.7B
4%%
Operating Income
$5.0B
12.1%%
EBITDA
None
3.7%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
0.82x
Good

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$982.6M
50.4% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
3/3
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
72
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
70
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing UGP's balance between Growth (38.1%), Profitability (30.2%), and Safety (31.7%). Growth 38% Safety 32% Profitability 30%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

74th percentile vs peers
75
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 5.9% 73p Revenue CAGR 3Y 6.8% 84p EPS CAGR 3Y 39.7% 92p EPS Growth YoY -4.2% 47p TSR 1.20 81p
Strengths
  • Revenue Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (6.8%, 84th percentile)
  • Eps Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (39.7%, 92th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

59th percentile vs peers
59
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

62th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne.

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$126.54
- - -
+2477.2% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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