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Company Analysis

Ulta Beauty, Inc. ULTA

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Overview of Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA NMS
Consumer Cyclical Specialty Retail Large Cap
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA), is a Large Cap company, in the Specialty Retail industry, last closed at $535.72, about 46.0% overvalued vs fair value, +50.1% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
$535.72
-14.24%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 41.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$28.67B
Enterprise Value
$31.04B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ulta.com
HQ Bolingbrook, IL
Employees 20,000
Fiscal year Jan 31

Next Events

Earnings Mar 12

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$243
$289
$335
Current: $535.72 -46% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$11.3B
0.8%%
Gross Profit
$4.4B
0.1%%
Operating Income
$1.6B
-6.4%%
Net Income
$1.2B
-7%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
80.3%
Good

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.0B
107.6% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
76
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Moderate
63
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 97% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing ULTA's balance between Growth (31.5%), Profitability (39.7%), and Safety (28.8%). Growth 31% Safety 29% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

65th percentile vs peers
65
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 9.4% 78p Rev Growth YoY 0.8% 53p EPS CAGR 3Y 12.1% 86p EPS Growth YoY -2.7% 51p
Strengths
  • Eps Cagr 3Y in top 20% of peers (12.1%, 86th percentile)
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (334.25, 92th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (90%)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

82th percentile vs peers
83
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

60th percentile vs peers
60
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ulta Beauty, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$289.26
- - -
-46.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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