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Company Analysis

Warner Music Group Corp. WMG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Warner Music Group Corp.

Overview of Warner Music Group Corp.

WMG NMS
Communication Services Entertainment Large Cap
Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG), is a Large Cap company, in the Entertainment industry, last closed at $27.32, about 17.6% undervalued vs fair value, -17.5% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
$27.32
1.67%
As of March 13, 2026
Previous close • Vol 90d: 32.8%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$14.54B
Enterprise Value
$18.40B
Overall Score
Scores locked

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Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.wmg.com
HQ New York, NY
Employees 5,500
Fiscal year Sep 30

Next Events

Earnings May 7 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$29
$32
$36
Current: $27.32 +18% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$6.7B
4.4%%
Gross Profit
$3.1B
0.1%%
Operating Income
$928.0M
-4.1%%
Net Income
$365.0M
-16.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio
94.2%
Good

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$400.0M
116.3% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health significant issues
Overall assessment of cash flow efficiency and conversion quality.
4
Active Leaks
0/4
Improving
2
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Warner Music Group Corp.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
67
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Strong
78
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing WMG's balance between Growth (21.5%), Profitability (40.3%), and Safety (38.2%). Growth 21% Safety 38% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

36th percentile vs peers
37
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 4.4% 48p EPS Growth YoY -16.6% 32p Revenue CAGR 3Y 4.2% 24p TSR 11.2% 51p EPS CAGR 3Y -12.9% 28p
Strengths
  • D/E Ratio in top 20% of peers (7.12, 91th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Roic in top 20% of peers (14.1%, 84th percentile)
Risks
  • Growth below peer median (percentile: 36)

Profitability

69th percentile vs peers
69
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

65th percentile vs peers
65
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Warner Music Group Corp..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$32.14
- - -
+17.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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