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Company Analysis

Assured Guaranty Ltd. AGO

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Overview of Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO NYQ
Financial Services Insurance - Specialty Framework: Insurance & Reinsurance Mid Cap
Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO), is a Mid Cap company, in the Insurance - Specialty industry, last closed at $76.46, about 59.6% undervalued vs fair value, -9.9% 1Y return, ranked 659/1037 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 36.4% ROE 9.0% Div Yield 18.46%
USD 76.46
1.08%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 26.3%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$3.36B
Enterprise Value
$4.68B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 47%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.assuredguaranty.co...
HQ Hamilton
Employees 361
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 6 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$68
$122
$229
Current: $76.46 +60% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Insurance & Reinsurance - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$1.1B
36.4%%
Claims & Losses
$-6.0M
-102.8%%
Acquisition & Admin Expenses
$-202.0M
Underwriting Result
$488.0M
-5.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Insurance & Reinsurance

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Loss Ratio
0.5%
Excellent

Claims & Losses / Revenue — core underwriting discipline metric; lower is better

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$1.3B
251.5% of Net Income

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
2
Active Leaks
0/2
Improving
0
High Impact
2
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Insurance & Reinsurance

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
71
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Underwriting Discipline

Moderate
66
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Insurance (Life, P&C, Reinsurance) vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing AGO's balance between Growth (32.4%), Profitability (37.5%), and Safety (30.1%). Growth 32% Safety 30% Profitability 37%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

56th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 36.4% 90p Revenue CAGR 3Y 17.5% 74p Equity Growth YoY -3.8% 14p EPS Growth YoY -41.2% 12p Asset Growth YoY 2.3% 34p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (36.4%, 90th percentile)
  • Net Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (45.3%, 95th percentile)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (71.1%, 96th percentile)
  • Equity/Assets in top 20% of peers (46.5%, 82th percentile)
Risks
  • Equity Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-3.8%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-41.2%)

Profitability

65th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

52th percentile vs peers
53
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Assured Guaranty Ltd..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$122.03
- - -
+59.6% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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