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Company Analysis

Aemetis, Inc AMTX

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Aemetis, Inc

Overview of Aemetis, Inc.

AMTX NGM
Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Framework: Commodities & Mining Micro Cap
Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX), is a Micro Cap company, in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry, last closed at $1.15, about 73.9% undervalued vs fair value, -34.7% 1Y return, ranked 234/260 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -22.3% ROE 27.0% Gross Margin -0.4%
USD 1.15
-8.00%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 76.4%
Market Cap
$83.00M
Enterprise Value
$497.92M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Growth
Good
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 90%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.aemetis.com
HQ Cupertino, CA
Employees 223
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Call Nov 5

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$2
$2
$2
Current: $1.15 +74% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$208.0M
-22.3%%
Gross Profit
-$768.0K
-32.4%%
Operating Income
-$37.2M
7.9%%
EBITDA
-$31.7M
14.6%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
0.30x

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income - not meaningful while net income is negative

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
0/5
Improving
0
High Impact
5
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Aemetis, Inc's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
22
/100
Weak
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.71), suggesting sticky customer base.

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 11.8th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • Elevated Debt Risk Debt serviceability is weak (score 0.18), raising refinancing risk.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Weak
19
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 80% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing AMTX's balance between Growth (47.3%), Profitability (18.3%), and Safety (34.4%). Growth 47% Safety 34% Profitability 18%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

33th percentile vs peers
34
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 32.7% 65p Revenue CAGR 3Y -6.8% 32p Rev Growth YoY -22.3% 13p
Strengths
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-16.79, 96th percentile)
Risks
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-22.3%)

Profitability

13th percentile vs peers
13
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

24th percentile vs peers
25
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Aemetis, Inc.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$2.00
- - -
+73.9% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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