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Company Analysis

A.O. Smith Corporation AOS

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for A.O. Smith Corporation

Overview of A. O. Smith Corporation

AOS NYQ
Industrials Specialty Industrial Machinery Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS), is a Mid Cap company, in the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry, last closed at $65.42, about 31.0% overvalued vs fair value, -0.2% 1Y return, ranked 281/669 in sector.
Metrics P/E 17.4× Rev Growth 0.3% ROE 29.2% Gross Margin 38.8% Div Yield 2.10%
USD 65.42
3.73%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 28.6%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$8.79B
Enterprise Value
$9.24B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.aosmith.com
HQ Milwaukee, WI
Employees 11,500
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Nov 16
Earnings Jan 28 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$39
$45
$52
Current: $65.42 -31% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$3.8B
0.3%%
Gross Profit
$1.5B
2.1%%
Operating Income
$728.0M
1.6%%
Net Income
$546.2M
2.4%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
100.0%
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$634.1M
116.1% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
1
Active Leaks
0/1
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating A.O. Smith Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
74
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.91), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.
  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 96.1th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Strong
80
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing AOS's balance between Growth (25.1%), Profitability (42.9%), and Safety (32.0%). Growth 25% Safety 32% Profitability 43%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

49th percentile vs peers
49
Key Signals
EPS CAGR 3Y 36.5% 85p Rev Growth YoY 0.3% 37p Revenue CAGR 3Y 0.7% 41p EPS Growth YoY 6.1% 49p TSR 0.1% 49p
Strengths
  • EPS CAGR 3Y in top 20% of peers (36.5%, 85th percentile)
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (53.97, 92th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

84th percentile vs peers
85
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

63th percentile vs peers
63
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for A.O. Smith Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$45.13
- - -
-31.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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