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Company Analysis

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. ASPN

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

Overview of Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

ASPN NYQ
Industrials Building Products & Equipment Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN), is a Small Cap company, in the Building Products & Equipment industry, last closed at $4.39, about 0.0% overvalued vs fair value, -44.4% 1Y return, ranked 435/668 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -40.1% ROE -91.6% Gross Margin 17.0%
USD 4.39
-17.33%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 88.5%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$434.28M
Enterprise Value
$389.23M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Excellent
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Excellent
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 86%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.aerogel.com
HQ Northborough, MA
Employees 554
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Aug 6 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$-3
$-2
$-2
Current: $4.39

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$271.1M
-40.1%%
Gross Profit
$46.0M
-74.9%%
Operating Income
$-51.4M
-188.5%%
Net Income
$-389.6M
-3012.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
1.2%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
3/5
Improving
0
High Impact
4
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Aspen Aerogels, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
34
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Weak
22
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing ASPN's balance between Growth (23.6%), Profitability (23.6%), and Safety (52.9%). Growth 24% Safety 53% Profitability 24%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

25th percentile vs peers
25
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 14.5% 78p Rev Growth YoY -40.1% 5p TSR -91.0% 2p EPS Growth YoY -29.41 0p
Strengths
  • Current Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.90, 85th percentile)
  • Net Debt/EBITDA in top 20% of peers (-47.4%, 82th percentile)
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-31.40, 96th percentile)
  • Quick Ratio in top 20% of peers (3.29, 87th percentile)
  • Strong liquidity position vs peers
Risks
  • Rev Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-40.1%)
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-29.41)

Profitability

25th percentile vs peers
25
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

57th percentile vs peers
57
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Aspen Aerogels, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$-2.12
- - -
- upside
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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