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Company Analysis

BigBear.ai, Inc. BBAI

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for BigBear.ai, Inc.

Overview of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BBAI NYQ
Technology Information Technology Services Framework: Software & SaaS Small Cap
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI), is a Small Cap company, in the Information Technology Services industry, last closed at $4.02, about 90.0% overvalued vs fair value, +8.1% 1Y return, ranked 306/770 in sector.
USD 4.02
-2.90%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 81.7%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.93B
Enterprise Value
$1.58B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 79%
Updated: Mar 8
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://bigbear.ai
HQ McLean, VA
Employees 630
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$0
$0
$1
Current: $4.02 -90% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Software & SaaS - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Total Revenue
$158.2M
2%%
Gross Profit
$45.2M
11.4%%
Operating Income (GAAP)
$-45.7M
-28.7%%
Operating Cash Flow
$-38.1M
-108.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Software & SaaS

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Gross Margin
28.6%
Poor

Gross Profit / Revenue — pricing power and product moat (SaaS benchmark: >70%)

Locked Metric
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$6.9M

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
0/3
Improving
0
High Impact
3
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Software & SaaS Specialized

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating BigBear.ai, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
34
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
29
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Software SaaS vs Industry Peers 85% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing BBAI's balance between Growth (39.1%), Profitability (32.2%), and Safety (28.7%). Growth 39% Safety 29% Profitability 32%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

30th percentile vs peers
31
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 2.0% 35p Revenue CAGR 3Y 2.8% 31p TSR -27.6% 31p EPS Growth YoY -1.67 11p
Strengths

No notable strengths identified for this axis.

Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

25th percentile vs peers
25
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

22th percentile vs peers
23
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for BigBear.ai, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$0.40
- - -
-90.0% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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