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Company Analysis

BHP Group Limited BHP

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for BHP Group Limited

Overview of BHP Group Limited

BHP NYQ
Basic Materials Other Industrial Metals & Mining Framework: Commodities & Mining Mega Cap
BHP Group Limited (BHP), is a Mega Cap company, in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry, last closed at $80.07, about 57.8% overvalued vs fair value, +44.0% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 21.6× Rev Growth 14.6% ROE 20.6% Gross Margin 75.6% Div Yield 3.19%
USD 80.07
1.15%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 32.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$202.38B
Enterprise Value
$214.46B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Excellent
Health
Good
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Excellent
Health
Good
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.bhp.com
HQ Melbourne, VIC
Employees 39,369
Fiscal year Jun 30

Next Events

No upcoming events available.

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$30
$34
$37
Current: $80.07 -58% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mega Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$58.8B
14.6%%
Gross Profit
$44.4B
20.9%%
Operating Income
$23.9B
22.6%%
EBITDA
$30.7B
19.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
1.21x
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$6.4B
68.9% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health healthy
Strong cash conversion with minimal leakage across profit-to-cash-to-value chain.
1
Active Leaks
1/1
Improving
0
High Impact
0
Critical
Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating BHP Group Limited's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
86
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Consistently Above Peers Gross margin at 75.6% (top 7%) and operating margin at 40.6% (top 3%) indicate strong pricing power.
  • Margins Stable Across Cycles Operating margin volatility is low (stability score 0.88), demonstrating pricing resilience across cycles.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Strong
92
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing BHP's balance between Growth (29.6%), Profitability (39.2%), and Safety (31.2%). Growth 30% Safety 31% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

62th percentile vs peers
63
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 14.6% 68p Revenue CAGR 3Y 3.0% 57p EPS Growth YoY 8.9% 55p TSR 78.8% 82p EPS CAGR 3Y -8.8% 54p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (11.63, 81th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

82th percentile vs peers
83
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

65th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for BHP Group Limited.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$33.75
- - -
-57.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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