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Company Analysis

Dutch Bros Inc. BROS

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Dutch Bros Inc.

Overview of Dutch Bros Inc.

BROS NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Restaurants Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS), is a Mid Cap company, in the Restaurants industry, last closed at $43.87, about 78.5% overvalued vs fair value, -17.6% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 96.4× Rev Growth 27.9% ROE 13.1% Gross Margin 25.9%
USD 43.87
2.33%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 53.1%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$8.21B
Enterprise Value
$8.32B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Fair
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 92%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.dutchbros.com
HQ Tempe, AZ
Employees 23,000
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 4 Call: Nov 4

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$8
$9
$11
Current: $43.87 -79% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.6B
27.9%%
Gross Profit
$423.9M
24.6%%
Operating Income
$161.2M
51.9%%
Net Income
$79.8M
126.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
68.1%
Fair

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
2/2
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Dutch Bros Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
63
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Strong Interest Coverage & Conservative Leverage Debt serviceability is strong (score 0.73), with robust interest coverage.
  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 75.9th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.

Key risks

  • Volatile Margins Suggest Cyclicality Margin volatility is high (stability score 0.11), suggesting cyclical exposure or competitive pressure.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
42
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing BROS's balance between Growth (42.3%), Profitability (33.1%), and Safety (24.5%). Growth 42% Safety 25% Profitability 33%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

84th percentile vs peers
84
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 27.9% 87p Revenue CAGR 3Y 30.4% 91p EPS Growth YoY 87.5% 83p TSR 12.3% 60p
Strengths
  • Growth performance in top 20% of peers (percentile: 84)
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (27.9%, 87th percentile)
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y in top 20% of peers (30.4%, 91th percentile)
  • EPS Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (87.5%, 83th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 2 return metrics above peer median
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

66th percentile vs peers
66
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

48th percentile vs peers
49
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Dutch Bros Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$9.43
- - -
-78.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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