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Company Analysis

Avis Budget Group, Inc. CAR

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Avis Budget Group, Inc.

Overview of Avis Budget Group, Inc.

CAR NMS
Industrials Rental & Leasing Services Framework: General Corporate Mid Cap
Avis Budget Group, Inc. (CAR), is a Mid Cap company, in the Rental & Leasing Services industry, last closed at $111.52, about 294.5% undervalued vs fair value, -19.4% 1Y return, ranked 443/669 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth -1.8% ROE 32.6% Gross Margin 67.6% Div Yield 0.00%
USD 111.52
3.27%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 51.2%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$3.94B
Enterprise Value
$29.41B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Weak
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Fair
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Weak
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 94%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.avisbudgetgroup.co...
HQ Parsippany, NJ
Employees 17,000
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Earnings Nov 3 Call: Nov 4

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$380
$440
$504
Current: $111.52 +295% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mid Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$11.4B
-1.8%%
Gross Profit
$7.7B
-1.9%%
Operating Income
$184.0M
-31.6%%
Net Income
-$889.0M
51.2%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
13.5x

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - not meaningful while net income is negative (a near-100% ratio here only reflects cash burn tracking accounting losses, not earnings quality)

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
6
Active Leaks
1/6
Improving
0
High Impact
5
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Avis Budget Group, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
27
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key risks

  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 12.0th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.
  • Elevated Debt Risk Debt serviceability is weak (score 0.14), raising refinancing risk.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 84% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CAR's balance between Growth (38.0%), Profitability (40.3%), and Safety (21.7%). Growth 38% Safety 22% Profitability 40%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

46th percentile vs peers
47
Key Signals
EPS Growth YoY 50.8% 72p Rev Growth YoY -1.8% 32p TSR 59.2% 87p Revenue CAGR 3Y -4.3% 26p
Strengths
  • TSR in top 20% of peers (59.2%, 87th percentile)
  • Gross Profit Margin in top 20% of peers (67.6%, 90th percentile)
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-2.11, 84th percentile)
  • Consistently strong margins across 3 metrics
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

49th percentile vs peers
49
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

26th percentile vs peers
27
Key Signals
Strengths
Safety drilldowns are available to premium members.

Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Avis Budget Group, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$439.94
- - -
+294.5% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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