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Company Analysis

Caterpillar, Inc. CAT

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Caterpillar, Inc.

Overview of Caterpillar Inc.

CAT NYQ
Industrials Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Framework: General Corporate Mega Cap
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), is a Mega Cap company, in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, last closed at $613.62, about 59.4% overvalued vs fair value, +7.7% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 30.5× Rev Growth 4.3% ROE 43.5% Gross Margin 31.8% Div Yield 1.03%
USD 613.62
-1.47%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 41.2%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$282.07B
Enterprise Value
$320.50B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Good
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Growth
Good
Profitability
Good
Health
Good
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.caterpillar.com
HQ Irving, TX
Employees 118,000
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Nov 19
Earnings Jan 28 Call: Jan 28

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$221
$249
$279
Current: $613.62 -59% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Mega Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$67.6B
4.3%%
Gross Profit
$21.5B
-7.9%%
Operating Income
$11.2B
-14.7%%
Net Income
$8.9B
-17.7%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
83.9%
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
-
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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$8.0B
106.7% of FCF

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
2
Active Leaks
0/2
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Caterpillar, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
80
/100
Strong
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Margins Consistently Above Peers Gross margin at 31.8% (top 4%) and operating margin at 16.5% (top 4%) indicate strong pricing power.
  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 82.6th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.

Key risks

  • Liquidity Concerns Liquidity is concerning (score 0.26), raising questions about short-term obligations.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Strong
78
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CAT's balance between Growth (30.4%), Profitability (43.5%), and Safety (26.1%). Growth 30% Safety 26% Profitability 43%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

56th percentile vs peers
56
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 4.3% 52p Revenue CAGR 3Y 4.4% 55p EPS CAGR 3Y 14.2% 69p TSR 59.5% 87p EPS Growth YoY -14.7% 37p
Strengths
  • Interest Coverage Ratio in top 20% of peers (23.99, 88th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • TSR in top 20% of peers (59.5%, 87th percentile)
  • Operating Margin in top 20% of peers (16.5%, 85th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

80th percentile vs peers
80
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

48th percentile vs peers
48
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Caterpillar, Inc..

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$249.13
- - -
-59.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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