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Company Analysis

Carnival Corporation CCL

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Carnival Corporation

Overview of Carnival Corporation & plc

CCL NYQ
Consumer Cyclical Travel Services Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL), is a Large Cap company, in the Travel Services industry, last closed at $30.05, about 23.7% overvalued vs fair value, +14.0% 1Y return, ranked 201/548 in sector.
Metrics P/E 13.1× Rev Growth 6.4% ROE 25.6% Gross Margin 40.1%
USD 30.05
4.23%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 40.1%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$40.41B
Enterprise Value
$63.12B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Good
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Fair
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.carnivalcorp.com
HQ Miami, FL
Employees 160,000
Fiscal year Nov 30

Next Events

Dividend Nov 27 Ex-div: Nov 6
Earnings Dec 18 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$19
$23
$26
Current: $30.05 -24% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$26.6B
6.4%%
Gross Profit
$10.7B
13.8%%
Operating Income
$4.5B
25.4%%
Net Income
$2.8B
44.1%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
94.5%
Good

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health some concerns
Moderate efficiency issues detected. Review active leaks below for improvement areas.
4
Active Leaks
4/4
Improving
1
High Impact
0
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Carnival Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
52
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • ROIC Sustainably Above Peers ROIC at 70.6th percentile exceeds peers and WACC, demonstrating superior capital allocation.
  • Operating Expense Control OpEx growth is controlled (score 0.71), demonstrating operating leverage.

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 11.8th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • Revenue Volatility Signals Weak Stickiness Revenue volatility is high (stability score 0.12), suggesting weak customer stickiness.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
29
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 95% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CCL's balance between Growth (40.8%), Profitability (43.4%), and Safety (15.8%). Growth 41% Safety 16% Profitability 43%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

74th percentile vs peers
74
Key Signals
Revenue CAGR 3Y 29.8% 91p Rev Growth YoY 6.4% 58p EPS Growth YoY 43.6% 70p TSR 51.8% 84p
Strengths
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y in top 20% of peers (29.8%, 91th percentile)
  • Superior capital returns - 3 return metrics above peer median
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (85%)
  • TSR in top 20% of peers (51.8%, 84th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

78th percentile vs peers
79
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

28th percentile vs peers
29
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Carnival Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$22.93
- - -
-23.7% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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