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Company Analysis

Ciena Corporation CIEN

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Ciena Corporation

Overview of Ciena Corporation

CIEN NYQ
Technology Communication Equipment Framework: General Corporate Large Cap
Ciena Corporation (CIEN), is a Large Cap company, in the Communication Equipment industry, last closed at $284.34, about 82.8% overvalued vs fair value, +41.1% 1Y return, placing in the top 10% of its sector.
Metrics P/E 223.7× Rev Growth 18.8% ROE 4.5% Gross Margin 42.0%
USD 284.34
-11.34%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 83.4%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$40.32B
Enterprise Value
$41.11B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Excellent
Profitability
Good
Health
Good
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Growth
Excellent
Profitability
Good
Health
Good
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 88%
Confidence: 94%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats
No strong beats yet

Quick Facts

Website https://www.ciena.com
HQ Hanover, MD
Employees 8,898
Fiscal year Oct 31

Next Events

Earnings Dec 10 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$41
$49
$56
Current: $284.34 -83% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Large Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$4.8B
18.8%%
Gross Profit
$2.0B
16.6%%
Operating Income
$197.5M
18.6%%
Net Income
$123.3M
46.9%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
539.4%
Excellent

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income - measures how well earnings convert to cash

Locked Metric
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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
3
Active Leaks
1/3
Improving
0
High Impact
1
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Ciena Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
66
/100
Moderate
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key strengths

  • Revenue Growth Consistent Revenue growth volatility is low (stability score 0.72), suggesting sticky customer base.
  • Cash Generation Consistent Cash generation is consistent (score 0.81), indicating reliable business model.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Moderate
65
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CIEN's balance between Growth (35.5%), Profitability (31.5%), and Safety (33.0%). Growth 36% Safety 33% Profitability 32%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

3-Year Trend Analysis Locked
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Growth

66th percentile vs peers
67
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 18.8% 81p Revenue CAGR 3Y 9.5% 70p EPS Growth YoY 47.6% 71p EPS CAGR 3Y -5.5% 39p TSR -4.9% 44p
Strengths
  • Rev Growth YoY in top 20% of peers (18.8%, 81th percentile)
  • Growth above peer median with strong metric coverage (100%)
  • FCF Margin in top 20% of peers (14.0%, 84th percentile)
  • Cash Flow to Debt Ratio in top 20% of peers (1.64, 82th percentile)
Risks

No significant risks identified for this axis.

Profitability

59th percentile vs peers
59
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

61th percentile vs peers
62
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Ciena Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$48.88
- - -
-82.8% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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