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Company Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. CVLG

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Overview of Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

CVLG NYQ
Industrials Trucking Framework: General Corporate Small Cap
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG), is a Small Cap company, in the Trucking industry, last closed at $48.86, about 37.4% undervalued vs fair value, +100.6% 1Y return, ranked 251/668 in sector.
Metrics P/E 81.9× Rev Growth 2.9% ROE 1.7% Gross Margin 14.6% Div Yield 1.30%
USD 48.86
-2.04%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 37.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$1.17B
Enterprise Value
$1.45B
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Growth
Fair
Profitability
Weak
Health
Weak
Efficiency
Good
Valuation
Good
Completeness: 82%
Confidence: 86%
Updated: Jul 5
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.covenantlogistics....
HQ Chattanooga, TN
Fiscal year Dec 31

Next Events

Dividend Jun 26
Earnings Jul 22 Estimated

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$58
$67
$76
Current: $48.86 +37% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Small Cap

Corporate Free Cash Flow - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$1.2B
2.9%%
Gross Profit
$169.9M
-10.4%%
Operating Income
$20.5M
-55.9%%
Net Income
$7.2M
-79.8%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Corporate Free Cash Flow

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2025
-468.6%

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

FCF / Net Income — not a reliable quality signal when net income is near-zero (ratio is inflated by thin margins, not strong cash generation)

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Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
5
Active Leaks
2/5
Improving
1
High Impact
4
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.'s durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
45
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors

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Pricing Power

Developing
50
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Generic Industrial / Default vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing CVLG's balance between Growth (25.7%), Profitability (39.1%), and Safety (35.2%). Growth 26% Safety 35% Profitability 39%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

28th percentile vs peers
29
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 2.9% 46p Revenue CAGR 3Y -1.5% 33p EPS Growth YoY -79.2% 17p TSR -18.1% 27p EPS CAGR 3Y -57.5% 3p
Strengths
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-9.98, 92th percentile)
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-79.2%)

Profitability

44th percentile vs peers
44
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

39th percentile vs peers
40
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Covenant Logistics Group, Inc..

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Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

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  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$67.11
- - -
+37.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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