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Company Analysis

Evolution Petroleum Corporation EPM

A comprehensive view of key metrics, scores, and financial health for Evolution Petroleum Corporation

Overview of Evolution Petroleum Corporation

EPM ASE
Energy Oil & Gas E&P Framework: Commodities & Mining Micro Cap
Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM), is a Micro Cap company, in the Oil & Gas E&P industry, last closed at $3.61, about 40.4% overvalued vs fair value, -17.2% 1Y return, ranked 198/260 in sector.
Metrics Rev Growth 0.6% ROE -3.7% Gross Margin 17.2% Div Yield 12.84%
USD 3.61
-5.00%
(Delayed)
• Vol 90d: 43.0%
52-Week Range
Market Cap
$142.41M
Enterprise Value
$192.77M
Overall Score
View breakdown
Overall
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Growth
Weak
Profitability
Weak
Health
Fair
Efficiency
Weak
Valuation
Fair
Completeness: 100%
Confidence: 97%
Updated: Oct 31
Top Beats

Quick Facts

Website https://www.evolutionpetroleum...
HQ Houston, TX
Employees 11
Fiscal year Jun 30

Next Events

Earnings Nov 10 Call: Nov 11

Fair Value Snapshot

Bear Base Bull
$2
$2
$2
Current: $3.61 -40% vs base

Engine Room Money Flow™

Micro Cap

Commodities & Mining - Where revenue goes and how value is created

Flow Steps
Revenue
$86.3M
0.6%%
Gross Profit
$14.8M
-8.2%%
Operating Income
$3.5M
-16.6%%
EBITDA
$23.5M
-12.5%%
Money Flow Bridge
Flow Direction: Money moves from left to right
Components: Breakdown shows composition of each stage
Industry-Specific: Commodities & Mining

Quality & Reliability Indicators

Cash Conversion Ratio FY2026
2.78x

Operating Cash Flow / Net Income

Free cash flow relative to net income - not meaningful while net income is negative

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Owner's Pocket - Capital Allocation

Total Returned to Shareholders

Combined dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction

$17.2M

Where It Leaks

Cash Flow Health critical
Significant cash flow inefficiencies identified. Multiple high-impact leaks require attention.
4
Active Leaks
2/4
Improving
1
High Impact
3
Critical
Locked Leak
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Locked Leak
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Moat Analysis Corporate Default

Competitive Advantage Assessment

Evaluating Evolution Petroleum Corporation's durable competitive advantages across 6 defense dimensions

Overall Moat Strength
26
/100
Developing
Scores based on quantitative metrics and qualitative factors
Full moat analysis

Key risks

  • Commodity Pressure / Weak Differentiation Gross margin at 9.9th percentile with high volatility suggests weak pricing power or commoditized products.
  • ROIC Below WACC or Peers ROIC at 32.1th percentile suggests inefficient capital deployment.

The dashed ring is the peer median. Defense scores are percentile ranks against peers, so 50 is roughly the typical company in this group.

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Pricing Power

Developing
26
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Signals, strengths and risks for Pricing Power

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Signals, strengths and risks for Cost Advantage

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Signals, strengths and risks for Customer Stickiness

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Signals, strengths and risks for Capital Efficiency

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Signals, strengths and risks for Resilience

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Signals, strengths and risks for Scale & Market Position

Trade-Off Ledger™

Where management spends the performance budget - Growth, Profitability, or Safety

Commodities & Mining vs Industry Peers 100% Coverage
Trade-Off Triangle Visualization A ternary plot showing EPM's balance between Growth (24.8%), Profitability (36.0%), and Safety (39.2%). Growth 25% Safety 39% Profitability 36%

Click axes to expand details. Marker shows current allocation.

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Growth

23th percentile vs peers
24
Key Signals
Rev Growth YoY 0.6% 46p Revenue CAGR 3Y -12.4% 21p TSR -11.7% 24p EPS Growth YoY -2.60 7p EPS CAGR 3Y -64.4% 2p
Strengths
  • Debt/FCF Ratio in top 20% of peers (-8.37, 93th percentile)
Risks
  • EPS Growth YoY in bottom 20% of peers (-2.60)

Profitability

34th percentile vs peers
34
Key Signals
Strengths
Risks
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Safety

37th percentile vs peers
37
Key Signals
Strengths
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Two Futures

Scenario-based fair value ranges for Evolution Petroleum Corporation.

Loading valuation model...
Unable to Compute Fair Value

This company cannot be valued using standard models.

What this means: The Scenario Theatre requires financial data (revenue, cash flow, shares outstanding) to calculate fair value estimates. This data may be unavailable for:

  • Recently listed companies (IPOs, SPACs)
  • Shell companies or holding companies
  • Companies that haven't filed recent financials
  • Foreign companies with limited data coverage
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Bear
-
- - -
- upside
-
Base
$2.15
- - -
-40.4% vs current
Snapshot base estimate
Bull
-
- - -
- upside
-
Fair Value Range Current: $-
$- $- $-
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